1000 Guineas Betting Guide, Trends & Free Tips – It's English Classic weekend at Newmarket racecourse this April 30th – May 1st as the track prepares for the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas – the first two of the five English Classic of the new 2016 flat turf season. The 1,000 Guineas is for the 3 year-old filles and is often a good guide to the Epsom Oaks that's run the following month.
Here at ThatsBettingTips we give you all the stats and free tips ahead of the 2016 renewal, this year run on Sunday 1st May – hopefully they will help you find the 1,000 Guineas winner and give you a few different betting angles to take into the race.
Plus – Be sure to claim your free bookmaker bets below, plus look out for further bookmaker specials (listed below) too.
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1,000 Guineas Betting Guide – Just like the 1,000 Guineas the previous day it should pay to keep horses that were placed in the top three last time out on your side, with 13 of the last 14 winners fitting that trend.
10 of the last 14 winners also won last time out, and that is a big trend in favour of both the well-fancied – Minding and Lumiere – who have headed the ante-post betting for much of winter.
Previous Group-winning form is a plus too with 11 of the last 14 winners backing-up that trend, but, unlike the 2,000 Guineas, this race has been a slightly better once for the bookies with 8 of the last 14 winners coming from outside the top 3 in the betting, while 50% of the last 14 winners returned at double-figure odds.
Don’t be too put off if your fancy hasn’t won over a mile yet either as 8 of the last 14 ticked this stat – this is a plus for Lumiere, who has, so far, only won over 6f, while, in contrast, Minding was and easy winner of the Dubai Fillies’ Mile here over course and distance last October so does have winning form over this trip.
So – in short, of the two Guineas races, this is a contest that’s thrown-up the odd shock result despite 3 of the last 14 favourites winning, so don’t be put off if your fancy is one of the bigger-priced runners, with the average winning SP in the last 14 runnings just over 10/1, while the O’Brien team have a far worse record in the race than the 2,000 Guineas with just two winners over the years.
Recent 1,000 Guineas Winners
2015 – Legatissimo (13/2)
2014 – Miss France (7/1)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/1)
2012 – Homecoming Queen (25/1)
2011 – Blue Bunting (16/1)
2010 – Special Duty (9/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (20/1)
2008 – Natagora (11/4 fav)
2007 – Finsceal Beo (5/4 fav)
2006 – Speciosa (10/1)
2005 – Virginia Waters (12/1)
2004 – Attraction (11/2)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (12/1)
2002 – Kazzia (14/1)
1,000 Guineas Trends
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Won their previous race
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
8/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites were unplaced
6/14 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
4/14 – Won by a US bred horse
4/14 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/14 – Previous Group One winners
3/14 – Won by the favourite
3/14 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10.4/1
Best Bookmaker Offers (Ts&C's apply)
PADDY POWER: Money back (up to £25) if you horse is 2nd (selected races) to the SP fav.
LADBROKES: If your horse comes second in any of the LIVE C4 races they will give you your money back (mobile, app, racing post app) (up to (£25)
WILLIAM HILL: If your horse comes second in any of the LIVE C4 races they will give you your money back (mobile, app, racing post app) (up to (£25)
BET365: Back any winner at 4/1 or bigger on any of the LIVE C4 races and they will give you a FREE BET to the same stake on the next live C4 race (up to £50)
BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK: Back any winner at 3/1 or bigger on any LIVE C4 race and they will give you a FREE BET to the same stake (up to £25)
888SPORT.com – Money-back if you are beaten by a no-hoper (20/1 or bigger) Upto £25 on all UK flat and NH races.
CORAL: Money back if your horse falls (selected meetings) up to £/€25 per race.
(Ts&C’s apply to all offers)