2000 Guineas Betting Guide, Trends & Free Tips
2000 Guineas Betting Guide, Trends & Free Tips

2000 Guineas Betting Guide, Trends & Free Tips – It's English Classic weekend at Newmarket racecourse this April 30th – May 1st as the track prepares for the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas – The second two of the five English Classic of the new 2016 flat turf season is the 2,000 Guineas – a race for the 3 year-old colts and is often a good guide to the Epsom Derby that's run the following month.

Here at ThatsBettingTips we give you all the stats and free tips ahead of the 2016 renewal, this year run on Saturday 30th April – hopefully they will help you find the 2,000 Guineas winner and give you a few different betting angles to take into the race.

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2,000 Guineas Betting Guide – By far the biggest ‘standout’ stat is that ALL of the last 14 winners came here of the back of a top three finish in their most recent race, while with 12 of the last 14 winners having won over 7f before, and also winning a Group race, then these are other key trends to look out for.

11 of the last 14 winners actually won last time out too, so that should knock plenty out, while 12 of the last 14 successful horses had won between 2-5 times before in their short careers.

It’s a contest that’s been kind to punters with 9 of the last 14 winners hailing from the top three in the market, plus 9 of the last 14 favourites were also placed – while don’t be too concerned if your fancy hasn’t had a run yet this season as 9 of the last 14 winners took this on their first run back.

The Irish have a good recent record too with 8 of the last 14 going to a yard based in the Emerald Isle, plus, is goes without saying the Aidan O’Brien-trained horses are the ones to look for with seven wins in the race since 1998, including 12 months ago when his classy Gleneagles blew the opposition away to win by 2 ¼ lengths.

So, looking at this year’s race then, just as the betting suggests, everything points to another Aidan O’Brien win with his Air Force Blue the clear favourite in the ante-post markets. This classy 3 year-old has only been beaten once from five runs, and was last seen winning the Dewhurst Stakes by 3 ¼ lengths at Newmarket last October – a race three of the last 14 winners of the 2,000 Guineas won the season before. That was his third Group One victory and although he’s yet to prove himself over further than 7f the way he’s won his last two races suggests another furlong is well within range and is the call to give his powerful yard their eighth success in this Classic.

Recent 2,000 Guineas Winners

2015 – Gleneagles (4/1 fav)
2014 – Night Of Thunder (40/1)
2013 – Dawn Approach (11/8 fav)
2012 – Camelot (15/8 fav)
2011 – Frankel (1/2 fav)
2010 – Makfi (33/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (8/1)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (11/1)
2007 – Cockney Rebel (25/1)
2006 – George Washington (6/4 fav)
2005 – Footstepsinthesand (13/2)
2004 – Haafhd (11/2)
2003 – Refuse to Bend (9/2)
2002 – Rock of Gibraltar (9/1)

2,000 Guineas Trends

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/14 – Had won a Group race before
12/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Having their first run of the season
8/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins in all)
5/14 – Had won over a mile before
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/14 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/14 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/14 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/1

 

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.