Here at ThatsBettingTips we give you all the stats and free tips ahead of the 2016 renewal of the Chester Cup, this year run on Wednesday 4th May – hopefully they will help you find the Chester Cup winner and give you a few different betting angles to take into the race. It's been a shocking race for the favourite with just 4 market leaders wining since 1975, while ALL of the last 14 winners were aged 7 or younger, plus since 1981 only 6 winners have acrried more than 9-2 to victory.
Apply the key trends to the final Chester Cup card and whittle down the runners to a more managle size – see our betting guide below, but using the stats we've got the line-up down to just six horses – see our free Chester Cup betting tips below.
Plus – Be sure to claim your free bookmaker bets below, plus look out for further bookmaker specials (listed below) too.
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Recent Chester Cup Winners
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)
Key Chester Cup Betting Trends
The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been two winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 6 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 12/1
3 of the last 6 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 4 winners returned 10/1
Chester Cup 14 Year Betting Trends
14/14 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/14 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
11/14 – Officially rated between 93-99
10/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/14 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
10/14 – Carried 9-2 or less
10/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had raced within the last 2 months
9/14 – Won from stall 7 or lower
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Favourites were unplaced
3/14 – Had won at the track before
3/14 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
2/14 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/14 – Won by the favourite
2/14 – Won their previous race
THATSBETTINGTIPS VERDICT: It’s off to the tight turns of the Roodee at Chester this midweek for their popular May Meeting. We’ve three days of top action with the C4 cameras there to take in four contests from Wednesday till Friday too, but the feature contest – The Chester Cup – is run on the opening day (Weds 4th May).
This ultra-competitive handicap, that’s run over 2m2f at a blistering pace around the tight Chester track is always a real spectacle and being a well-contested handicap there are also plenty of key past trends to take into the race to help you find the winner – or at least narrow down the runners!
So if we look at the main past trends you’ll notice that ALL of the last 14 winners were aged 7 or younger, with 4, 5 and 6 year-olds holding the best records – winning 11 of the last 14 renewals. 11 of the last 14 winners were rated between 93 and 99 too, if we combine those two age and rating trends we are left with just six horses – Le Maitre Chat, Steve Rogers, Gabrial The Hero, Totalize, William Of Orange and John Reel.
You’ll also notice that 10 of the last 14 winners carried 9-2 or less, so of those six that puts a line through John Reel (9-5). With 17 runners then we are left with just 5 horses so there is no harm in hedging your bets across all five, but one of the remaining trends horses is the likely favourite – Steve Rogers, who has improved bundles over the last year and returned this season with an easy AW win at Kempton. Add in that Roger Varian’s 5 year-old is a past course winner then everything points to a big run – but he’s certainly no value around 4/1, plus it’s not been the best of races for the market leader with just 4 winning favourites since 1975.
Even though the race is run over 2m2f the draw around this very tight track has played its part too with 9 of the last 14 winners coming from stall 7 or lower. Steve Rogers has been handed draw 3 so that’s a plus for him, while of the other trends horses mentioned only LE MAITRE CHAT (e/w) (Bet here at 16/1 with Bet365) (7), from the Ian Williams yard, fits the bill.
The Ian Williams also yard know what’s required to land a race of this nature after winning the pot in 2008, while with 10 of the last 14 winners finishing unplaced in their last race then don’t be too worried that he heads here off the back of finishing sixth in his most-recent outing. He was sixth in last season’s Cesarewitch, only beaten 2 lengths, so is no stranger to these big-field handicaps and should be better for another winter on his back.
Of the rest, TOTALIZE (e/w) (Bet here at 28/1 with William Hill) (10) only just falls outside of the draw trend so could go well and heads here fit from the recent hurdles runs. WILLIAM OF ORANGE (e/w) (Bet here at 16/1 with Ladbrokes) is another to have on your side as he comes from the Donald McCain camp who have won this prize in 2011 and 2012, while he’ll also have last year’s winning jockey, Graham Lee, doing the steering.
Best Bookmaker Offers (Ts&C's apply)
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