2016 Irish Hennessy Free Tips and Betting Trends – Run each year in early February at Leopardstown racecourse the Irish Hennessy Gold Cup is over a distance of 3m and there are 17 fences to be jumped.
The race was first run in 1987 and the contest now another recognised trial for the Cheltenham Gold Cup run a month later at the Festival with Jodami (1993) and Imperial Call (1996) the only two horses to take both races in the same season. In 2013, the Willie Mullins-trained Sir Des Champs, went onto finish second in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup, while the 2015 winner – Carlingford Lough – later ran 9th in the Gold Cup.
Leading Irish handler, Willie Mullins, is always one to note as he’s sent out 9 of the last 16 winners, including two of the last four renewals. UK raiders have won 2 of the last 8 runnings with popular greys The Listener (2008) and 2012 Grand National hero, Neptune Collonges (2009) the horses in question.
We take a look back at recent winners and give you all the key stats to take into the 2016 renewal – this year run on Saturday February 6th.
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Recent Irish Hennessy Gold Cup Winners
2015 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (4/1)
2014 – LAST INSTALMENT (8/1)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (11/8)
2012 – QUEL ESPRIT (5/4 fav)
2011 – KEMPES (5/1)
2010 – JONCOL (9/4 fav)
2009 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/13 fav)
2008 – THE LISTENER (2/1 fav)
2007 – BEEF OR SALMON (11/4)
2006 – BEEF OR SALMON (2/5 fav)
2005 – RULE SUPREME (11/2)
2004 – FLORIDA PEARL (5/1)
2003 – BEEF OR SALMON (Evs fav)
Irish Hennessy Gold Cup Betting Trends
13/13– Had run at Leopardsown over fences before
13/13 – Last ran was 6 weeks or less
13/13 – Had won over at least 3m before in their career (any code)
12/13 – Placed favourites
11/13 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
10/13 – Ran in the Lexus Chase (Leopardstown) last time out
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13– Aged 9 or younger
10/13 – Irish-bred
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/13 – Had won between 3-5 times over fences (rules) before
9/13 – Had won over fences at Leopardstown before
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
8/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners)
7/13 – Rated 160 or higher
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Trained by Willie Mullins
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by a UK-based trainer
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 3/1
FREE HORSE RACING TIP: In recent years we’ve seen horses like Beef Or Salmon , Florida Pearl and Jodami win the Irish Hennessy Gold Cup more than once, so the 2015 winner, Carlingford Lough, will be looking to add his name to that illustrious list. However, this 10 year-old has failed to win since that and looks a shadow of the horse that took this race by ¾ of a length 12 months ago, and was last seen running way down the field in the Lexus Chase here over Christmas.
The Willie Mullins yard have won this race nine times in the past, including three times in the last five years – so look out for anything they send to post. Their 2013 winner, Sir Des Champs, is entered again at this stage of the week, but is another that needs to bounce-back from a poor run last time out in the Lexus Chase, but did make a few errors that day.
Foxrock was only beaten a length in third in the Lexus Chase so certainly has a big chance if running to that form again, and his track stats read an impressive UR-2-3-2-1-2-3, so looks a strong player for the each-way backers out there.
First Lieutenant was second in the Lexus – beaten just ½ a length – so is another that enters the mix. But he’s won just three of his 28 chase starts and the last of those victories came back in April 13, so has become a shade frustrating to win with – despite often running his race.
So really on current form and the official ratings the one to beat is ROAD TO RICHES (Bet here at 4/5 with Bet365). This Noel Meade-trained 9 year-old has been lightly-raced this term after running a solid third in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last season. He was last seen winning the Clonmel Oil Chase over a shorter trip, but has CD-winning form at the track after landing the 2014 Lexus Chase. The official ratings suggest he’s got 5lbs in-hand on these terms so if running to form looks the one to beat before heading for another tilt at the Gold Cup at the Cheltenham Festival next month.
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