Ante-Post Horse Racing Tips – 7th June Investec Derby at Epsom

May 20, 2014January 31, 2015 Thatsbettingtips Staff

Ante-post horse racing betting tips for the Investec Derby on June 7th at Epsom.

Saturday the 7th of June sees the top three year-olds face the ultimate 1m4f test over the unforgiving undulations of Epsom. The Derby is the centrepiece of the British summer racing and represents the second leg of the Triple Crown. The current ante-post market is dominated by one horse, and as such there is plenty of value on offer to those punters happy to look beyond the head of the market.

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At this stage, any ante-post article will in all likelihood start and end with Aiden O’Brien’s Australia (5/6 SkyBet). The positives about this horse are there for all to see; he has an impeccable pedigree (by Galileo, out of Quija Board), his effort in the 2,000 Guineas was an ideal preparation for the Derby, and his trainer has long hailed him as one of the best he’s ever had. The bullish comments about his chances of success continued at a recent Ballydoyle press day and that alone warrants respect. However, as an odds-on shot with over two weeks to go surely the value lies elsewhere, possibly with Australia’s stablemates – Orchestra (20/1 Ladbrokes), Kingfisher (50/1 SkyBet) and Geoffrey Chaucer – who are also entered.

The Derrinstown at Leopardstown typically throws up a strong candidate as a leading trial for the Derby. This year’s renewal saw Fascinating Rock (14/1 Betfred) come on for his victory in the Ballysax and claim another victory (albeit in the Steward’s room). For many though, it was an unsatisfactory trial that developed into a three furlong sprint with Dermot Weld’s charge showing enough speed to get on terms at the line. Ebanoran (20/1 William Hill) was demoted to second but ran with a great deal of credit and shouldn’t be lightly dismissed. However, the hard luck story of the race was GEOFFREY CHAUCER (12/1 bet365). As well as having to give 3lbs on his seasonal reappearance, he was hampered twice during the race and was unable to land a blow. He had looked impressive on his two starts as a 2 year-old and this son of Monteju looks to be quite a straightforward animal and the clear second string to Australia. If Ryan Moore takes the ride then he looks solid each-way selection.

Another recognised Derby trial is the Dante, which this year offered a less than ideal winner with the Great Gatsby (French Derby bound) springing a surprise at long odds. True Story (16/1 Coral) looked to have a straightforward task when sent off 8/13 favourite after his impressive victory in the Fielden Stakes. He settled nicely into fourth but couldn’t stamp his authority on the field coming home. The Godolphin colt was a runaway success on his prior start over nine furlongs at Newmarket and may be best judged on that form. True Story found little, although the ground did look to be riding a bit dead and many judges are happy to put a line through poor runs at York. Double figure odds probably underestimates him, and judged on his form at Newmarket he now represents more value than ever.

Winner of the Lingfield Derby trial Snow Sky (25/1 William Hill) is currently unconfirmed for Epsom but for each-way value seekers he’s a live possibility. This Nayef colt hardly had the most inspiring juvenile season but broke his maiden in stamina sapping ground at Salisbury. He failed to really shine in the Racing Post Trophy but maybe that race came too soon and he finished down the field to Kingston Hill (14/1 Coral). Roger Varian’s runner remains of interest as he looked to hit a flat spot when things got a bit quick in the Guineas but still stayed on well. It’s unfortunate that we are yet to see him over a longer trip and on better ground, but if he handles both then he must also has good claims.

Snow Sky’s victory at Lingfield paid a compliment to the exciting Western Hymn (14/1 Ladbrokes). The High chaparral colt may of been a late bloomer but he certainly made an impression when scoring in his maiden in December. It was the closing sectionals of his Kempton victory that had punters eager to take early prices for the Derby. His times were group class and suggested that he was a good quality precocious individual. He looked green and a bit inexperienced on his next start at Newbury but came through in the final furlong to win by just over two lengths from Snow Sky. He looked to be worth more than that margin though and, while he made tough work of his latest win at Sandown, the ground was not to his liking and he found himself in front too soon. He looks to be open to plenty of improvement and, if able to show a bit more professionalism, he too looks to have odds which underestimate his chances.

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Shades of odds-on for the favourite and double figure prices for the rest of the field is a staggering makeup to the Derby market. The favourite aside, the most solid each-way selections seem to be – Fascinating Rock, Western Hymn and GEOFFREY CHAUCER. Of the three, it is Australia’s stablemate that appeals the most. He has the potential to be a lot better than what he has showed on a racecourse and the dam side of his pedigree is laden with stamina. A lot will depend on who Moore decides to ride, but if he chooses this horse then he could be a serious challenger and his odds will undoubtedly shorten.

Ante-Post Epsom Derby Tip –

GEOFFREY CHAUCER (E/W) (12/1 bet365)

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