Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends – Saturday 17th October 2015 – As we head into Saturday 17th Oct 2015 there is plenty more horse racing action to enjoy and more free horse racing tips – we are going to focus on the LIVE C4 racing from Ascot – we’ve free horse racing tips and key trends for each of the LIVE races.  

Horse racing betting expert, Andy Newton, gives you his free horse racing tips and stats this Saturday 17th Oct 2015 across the LIVE C4 races from Ascot racecouse.

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends and Free Tips (C4)

12.45 – Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m CH4

11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
10/13 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
10/13 – Won at Listed or better class
9/13 – Aged 5 or older
9/13– Ran at least 5 times that season
8/13 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat
8/13 – Won at least 5 times before
7/13 – Ran at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (2) last time out
6/13 – Favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Irish-trained winners
Forgotten Rules won the race 12 months ago
The average winning odds in the last 10 renewals is 13/2

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: A mouth-watering contest to get things started on Champion Day as some of the best stayeing flat horses locking horns. Peter Niven’s Clever Cookie has had an unbelievable rise to after being rated 88 (now 113) at the beginning of the season. We can expect him to be in the shake-up, but he has had a tough campaign and might just have liked it a bit softer. The Brian Meehan-trained Agent Murphy is very consistent and is another that is sure to be popular based on his recent second in the Irish St Leger. However, we’ll be siding with the winner of the race 12 months ago – FORGOTTEN RULES (e/w) as the free horse racing tip. Dermot Weld’s 5 year-old won this a year ago in decent fashion and despite only winning once since has been competing in some of the best staying races on the calendar. Okay, he’s got a bit to prove after his recent run down the field in the Irish St Leger, but this longer trip will certainly suit and he’s run two top races here now here at Ascot – he was also a close third in this year’s Gold Cup. Any further rain won’t inconvenience him and he heads into the contest as the joint-top rated – looks a cracking e/w option.


1.20 – Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f CH4

13/13 –  Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won at least 3 times before
12/13 – Ran at least 4 times that season
11/13 – Won at Listed or better class previously
10/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 in their latest race
9/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (2 won)
9/13 – Won a Group race previously
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Ran at Haydock (4), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
Gordon Lord Byron won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: Gordon Lord Byron (e/w) won this race last season and at around 16/1 there would be worse double-figure each-way fancies. More rain would be a big positive and looks value. That said, this contest could be dominated by the 3 year-olds with Henry Candy’s Twilight Son and Charles Hills’ MUHAARAR looking the two to focus on. Ryan Moore rides Twilight Son for the first time so that’s a big positive, but he only just got to the line in front last time in a battle with Strath Burn so we’ll have to see if that race has taken it’s toll. Muhaarar is the safer call. He’s a past CD winner after landing the Commonwealth Cup here at the Royal Meeting in June, while the form of his recent win in France has been franked with the second, Esoterique, coming out and landing the Sun Chariot very easily a few weeks ago. So, we’ll take Muhaarar to continue his good form with an e/w saver on last year’s winner Gordon Lord Byron.

1.55 – Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Ran 3 or more times that season
6/7 – Won over 1m4f before
6/7 – Won at Listed or better before
5/7 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
5/7 – Won at least 3 times before
5/7 – Ran within the last 9 weeks
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Rated 110 or higher
4/7 – Aged 3 years-old
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1
Madame Chiang won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: A cracking contest to look forward to here with the St Leger winner, Simple Verse, back on the track, while this season’s Juddmonte Stakes winner, Arabian Queen will be trying to give the champion jockey elect – Silvestre De Sousa – another big race win. The main hope for France is Candarliya, who looks a big player, while one of the trainers of the season, Hugo Palmer, will be trying to grab another win for his tough Covert Love – we last saw her winning on Arc day at Longchamp. However, John Gosden’s JOURNEY (e/w) was very impressive last time at HQ and is the call here. Yes, that was in a Listed race, but she pulverised the field by 8 lengths so there could be more to come. Frankie Dettori takes over in the saddle and this could be another big payday for the Gosden-Dettori team.

2.30 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Sponsored By Qipco (British Champions Mile) (Group 1) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Ran at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
13/13 – Ran at least 3 times that season
13/13 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
13/13 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/13 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/13 – Ran at Ascot previously (4 won)
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won at least 7 times before
6/13 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/13 – Favourites
3/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: Billed as a head-to-head between Gleneagles and SOLOW in what looks like being a ‘must-see’ contest. We’ve not seen this year’s 2,000 Guineas winner, Gleneagles, since he landed the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot in June. The horse has bypassed several big races this season because of the ground but with time running out you feel connections will be forced to run him here. The softer ground will suit the French horse – Solow – the better so despite having to give weight away to Gleneagles is taken to maintain her winning run and make it 9 victories in a row.

3.05 – Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f CH4

13/13 – Won at least 4 times before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
12/13 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
12/13 – Won between 4 and 8 times before
11/13 – Won over 1m2f before
9/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
7/13 – Won last time out 
6/13 – Ran at either Longchamp (3) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price
3/13 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/13 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 12 years is 8/1 

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: Aidan O’Brien’s Found will be hoping to improve on her ninth when last seen in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe and the return to 1m2f looks a big positive for her here. That said, she might have to go some to lower the colours of JACK HOBBS. John Gosden’s 3 year-old and Derby runner-up has been very impressive this season and if it wasn’t for a certain Golden Horn, who has beaten him twice into second, then he’d remain unbeaten. The return to 1m2f on this track should be fine and after warming-up with an easy win at Kempton in a Group Three then everything points to a big run. Of the others, the French have Vadamos as their main hope, but at a bigger price Dermot Weld’s Fascinating Rock (e/w) would not be the worst shout representing a yard that do very well at this course.

3.45 – Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m CH4

Just 1 previous running
Bronze Angel (Marcus Tregoning) won the race 12 months ago
Peter Chapple-Hyam is 2 from 8 with his older horses here
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 4 from 76 with his older horses here
Mick Channon is just 1 from 42 with his older horses here
Hughie Morrison is just 2 from 50 with his older horses here
David Simcock is just 2 from 53 with his older horses here

FREE HORSE RACING TIP: If you are looking at getting out of trouble in the lucky last – good luck! This looks a very race to solve and with only one previous running then no real stats to note either. The Marcus Tregoning-trained Bronze Angel won the race last season so is sure to be popular again – albeit off a 4lb higher mark. But a horse that won well at the track a few weeks ago – BUCKSTAY (e/w) – is the call, even off a 6lb higher mark. The front two pulled 2 ½ lengths clear that day and has a similar stall here in 5 (was in 8 last time). We can expect a late run, but the extra furlong should suit too and Jim Crowley has ridden the horse to success in the past.

 

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

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