Full race preview and free betting tips for the 2.40 Cammidge Trophy at Doncaster on Saturday.
The Irish Turf Season started last weekend with things kicking off at the Curragh, and this weekend it’s the turn of the British Turf Season. A competitive card at Doncaster is the main focus of Saturday’s racing action and I have a tip for the Cammidge Trophy.
Last year’s winner JACK DEXTER (9/4 BetVictor) will be looking for a repeat victory, setting things up nicely for a successful season. Former National Hunt jockey Graham Lee takes the ride again, in what has been a lucrative switch of disciplines. The horse did very little wrong last season, and his best form came on ground with a bit of give in it, conditions which he should get come Saturday afternoon. He seemed a really progressive type last year and should be able to put his racing experience to good use at a track he thrives on. Despite Jim Goldie’s yard having a quiet time of late, hopefully Jack Dexter can boost the yard’s form and start the season as they mean to go on. All in all, his chances of a repeat victory 12 months on look solid – he is a course and distance winner, has the ground in his favour, and goes well fresh, so for me he represents the likeliest winner.
The biggest danger could well come from the Dean Ivory owned and trained Tropics (3/1 William Hill). Ivory’s pride and joy is another who performs on the softer ground and was consistent last season until a lacklustre performance when favourite in the Ayr Gold Cup (Jack Dexter finished third). He has run since and won easily rounding off 2013 with victory in a Group 3 contest at Ascot. Aside from question marks over form, the horse doesn’t have a good record fresh and takes a bit of warming up before coming into his best. He’ll improve as the year goes on and is well worth keeping on side for later on in the season.
Richard Hannon Jr sends Maureen (11/2 Stan James) to the race, a four year-old filly who receives weight from all her rivals. She seems relatively unexposed and the step back in distance looks like it will suit. She showed plenty of talent last season when running creditably in a couple of Group 1 races. If she can find the form she showed in the Coronation Stakes, when finishing fourth behind stable mate Sky Lantern, she has to be in with a shout.
Apart from the top three in the betting I can’t see any other runners causing an upset. Kevin Ryan’s Captain Ramius, the Richard Fahey trained Heaven’s Guest, and Mass Rally for Michael Dods all had a creditable seasons last year, but didn’t show enough in terms of quality and consistency to think that they can come out on top in the race. Captain Ramius (10/1 William Hill) was lightly raced having gone under starters orders only five times in 2013 (successful in none) finishing second behind Jack Dexter in this race last season. Heaven’s Guest (12/1 BetVictor) on the other hand was campaigned harder, especially for a horse who has just turned four. He was victorious on four occasions, showing that he handles any ground. Mass Rally (14/1 Stan James) is another who has form on all types of ground, but hasn’t got the form to make me think that he able to finish on top. In his last race of the season he finished well behind Jack Dexter over course and distance, and is another who hasn’t shown strong form consistently enough to be worthy of consideration.
I think that the race boils down to three horses. Last year’s winner JACK DEXTER has shown good form all of last season and crucially, unlike one of his main rivals Tropics, he is has a strong record when fresh. Graham Lee gets a great tune out of the horse, and the for me Jack Dexter looks to have the ideal conditions in which to succeed.
JACK DEXTER (WIN) (9/4 BetVictor)
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