Channel 4 Racing betting tips for Saturday 26th October 2013 including the Racing Post Trophy tips.
The final Group 1 of the season, the Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster is the centrepiece on Channel Four’s Saturday coverage and we have free racing tips.
Aiden O’Brien has farmed this race in recent times, winning seven of the last sixteen running and three of the last four so anything that the Ballydoyle master sends over must be entitled to huge respect. Century (4/1 William Hill) arrives with a similar profile to the past two winners (in Camelot and Kingsbarns) insomuch as he is a once raced maiden winner but this requires a significant step up on that form against some who have already made an impact at Group level.
Chief Barker (8/1 Betfred) has done everything asked of him so far and his defeat of subsequent Fillies Mile winner, Chriselliam is smart form, whilst the Mark Johnson trained Somewhat (8/1 Betfred) has showed he has what it takes at Group level although soft ground is an imponderable. Pinzolo (4/1 Coral) was value for more than his head verdict over Red Galileo at Newbury and he looks to have a bright future but on a line through Pupil he may struggle to master Roger Varian’s Kingston Hill (7/2 Coral) who looked a colt of huge potential when winning a Group 2 at Newmarket just a fortnight ago.
A whole host of improvers take each other on in the Doncaster 2.40pm in what should be a very competitive handicap. Semeen and Centred have both been steadily improving through the year and represent powerful Newmarket yards but have to prove that they are as effective on the forecast ground as they have been on quicker surfaces over the summer.
Nicholascopernicus didn’t look like himself earlier in the season but he returned from a break with a strong effort at York recently and 12f on soft ground is exactly what he needs to show his best and after just 15 career starts further improvement is distinctly possible. They may all need to give best to a pair of rapidly improving three year olds however in the shapes of Ennistown and Thomas Hobson with preference marginally for the former who has put recent races to bed with an impressive turn of foot. His beating of future winner Gworn in particular looks solid and despite another rise in the weights he can take this on the way to better things.
The 3.15pm is a punters dream or nightmare depending on your point of view. Jamaican Bolt was second in this race last year and given another handy draw close to the stands rail with his favoured cut in the ground he should go close after a light campaign.
Steps has been consistency personified in handicaps of late, gaining a deserved win at Ascot last time and a 2lb rise is fair, he should certainly be involved in the finish as should, from the other side of the track, the pair of Take Cover and An Saighdiur. A tentative vote in a pin prick type of race in the hope of a bit of further rain goes to Ballesteros. Drawn right on the stands rail this is much easier than the races he has been running in of late and a repeat of his efforts in either of the past two Abbeye’s entitle him to go close and show a strong run 5f is perfect and he will certainly get that here.
Elsewhere on Channel Four at Newbury the Group 3 Horris Hill at 2.20pm is slightly disappointing in terms of quality with a fairly exposed field of two year olds. The exceptions are the French raider Galiway (9/4 Paddy Power) and Piping Rock (5/1 Paddy Power) for Richard Hannon. Galiway won a shade cosily on his debut at Saint Cloud but he was an odds on favourite to do so and the runner up didn’t do the form much good when a well beaten favourite last time. Piping Rock looked promising on his debut but made a real impression on his second start when routing a field at Salisbury on heavy ground. Given plenty of cut again the Hannon inmate may be the one to beat.
The St Simon Stakes may only be a small field of 8 but it looks a trappy race. The Godolpin pair are the pick on official ratings with strong Group 1 form from both of them. The choice of that pair is marginally Masterstroke (8/1 William Hill) in receipt of the 3lbs but he has been well below par on his two outings this season and at a more sporting price Sugar Boy (6/1 William Hill) on his favoured soft ground is taken to leave recent form behind in first time headgear.
Fourth favourite in the Irish Derby, he found the ground far too quick for him there and failed to act on the undulating track at Goodwood last time. Back on a more conventional course he can hopefully return to his best. Nichols Canyon and Quiz Mistress both bring good soft ground form to the table but the impression is further would suit both better.
Soft ground appears crucial to Anton Chigurh who revelled in the mud last Autumn winning handicaps at Carlisle and Haydock. 4lbs below that Haydock mark in the 3.30pm he looks set for a return to form with a step up to 10f looking a massive plus on what he has shown this season, staying on too late over a mile on the past two occasions. In a race where most look handicapped to their best he remains open to improvement off this mark and over a new trip.
Channel 4 Racing Betting Tips
Doncaster 2.40pm Ennistown –
Doncaster 3.15pm Ballesteros –
Doncaster 3.50pm – Kingston Hill – 7/2 Coral
Newbury 2.20pm – Piping Rock – 5/1 Paddy Power
Newbury 2.55pm – Sugar Boy – 6/1 William Hill
Newbury 3.30pm – Anton Chigurh –
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By Matthew Newman