Cheltenham Festival day 2 tips

Cheltenham tips for day 1 of the 2016 Cheltenham Festival on Tuesday 15th March with betting tips for every race on today's racecard.

 

The wait is over as the tapes go up for the 2016 Cheltenham Festival today and we are going to be with you all week to give you our take, and free Cheltenham tips, on the best races each day, plus the main positive and negative Cheltenham Festival stats to take into the features races.

 

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Cheltenham Festival 2016 tips

 

Cheltenham Day 1 Expert Tips

 

13:30 – Supreme Novices' Hurdle Betting Tip

We get underway, as normal, with Supreme Novices’ Hurdle all the talk surrounding this year’s curtain-raiser is about one horse – Min. This exciting French recruit, who represents the powerful Willie Mullins /Ruby Walsh/ Rich Ricci, will be looking to give that trio their third win on the spin in this race. There are some Supreme Novices’ Hurdle key stats to take into account and MIN does tick a lot of the positive ones – including age, recent form and, of course, having proven winning connections. One stat that goes against Min is that 17 of the last 21 winners ran in the last 45 days, as his last outing was 66 days ago, so those against him might cling to this. Mullins also has Yorkhill in the race and his horse has done little wrong too, winning both hurdles starts. There has been a lot of support for him in the last week or so, but that might just be the each-way thieves out there as he does look to have a great chance of at least hitting the frame. Alitor is the second favourite and has at least got solid course and distance form to his name after winning at Prestbury Park back in November, and followed that up with a top win at Kempton on Boxing Day. The other Henderson runner, Buveur D ‘Air, was last out just 46 days ago when recording an easy win at Huntingdon. This will be a big step-up, but the yard clearly holds him in high regard and, for us, might just have that little bit more improvement in him for an each-way bet on the Supreme Novices Hurdle 2016. For our main Cheltenham tip on the day one opener we’ll be hoping to get off to a flyer here with Min, who could simply have too much toe for this lot.

Supreme Novices Hurdle Tip – MIN to win at 2/1 with William Hill.

 

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14:10 Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase Betting Tip

If Min wins the first then the bookies will be starting to get a little bit worried with all the day one and Cheltenham Festival accumulator bets still well-and-truly on! Especially, as this next race is set to have one of the ‘banker-bankers’ running in it. DOUVAN is the horse in question as last year’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle winner has made a real impact now running over fences and looks as good as they come in this sphere. You suspect something drastic would have to happen to prevent this one going in! He’s scared away most of the runners in the race – not that there were seemingly many in his class anyway – and having won his two chase races by 18 lengths and 15 lengths, then it’s hard to see him being beaten for my next Cheltenham tip on day one. Add in that he’s got course form – albeit over hurdles – but has also tasted the Festival before then he really does look ‘bomb-proof’. Of the rest, anything Nicky Henderson runners should always be respected here with his good record in the race – Vaniteaux – looks his best option, but the each-way value could sit with the Philip Hobbs-trained Garde La Victoire, who has won his last three races here at Cheltenham (2 hurdles, 1 fences).

Arkle Chase Betting Tips – Douvan to win 2/5 with Betfred, Vaniteaux each way 11/2 with William Hill.

 

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14.50 Ultima Handicap Chase Betting Tip

The Ultima Handicap Chase looks set to be an ultra-tough race, but with eight of the last 11 winners carrying 10-12 or less, and the fact 11 of the last 15 came from the top four in the betting then these are key stats to take into the race when looking for the next day 1 Cheltenham Festival tip. Also respect anything the Jonjo O’Neill, Nicky Henderson, Alan King, Tony Martin and David Pipe yards run as they’ve all fair records in the race. In contrast, be wary of Paul Nicholls-trained horses as he’s not had a winner from his last 18 sent to post. The last four winners all wore headgear, so that’s another thing to look for, while seven of the last 13 (54%) won last time out. With all that taken into account the David Pipe-trained DOCTOR HARPER (each-way), who gets in here with a light-weight, and was only beaten five lengths by the classy Garde La Victoire two runs back, looks interesting.

Ultima Handicap Chase Tip – Doctor Harper at 10/1 with bet365 (each-way).

 

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15:30 Champion Hurdle Betting Tip

Onto the feature race on day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival and despite the shine being taken off this race a little with last year’s champion Faugheen and 2015 runner-up Arctic Fire not running, we still have a stong betting heat in the Champion Hurdle 2016. This was a double blow for the Mullins team, but they still have the first two in the betting – Annie Power and Nichols Canyon. Annie Power does look the most-likely winner – but is she value? Nichols Canyon looks sure to play his part, and was a solid third in the Neptune here last year, but for us he still has a bit to prove and might just be a small notch behind the very top level. My Tent Or Yours was runner-up in 2014, but has had his problems since and the jury will be out as to whether he’ll return the same horse after almost two years out. Old Guard could surprise at a price for the Paul Nicholls team as he’s won his last three races here at the track – albeit at a slightly lower level – but at double-figures he’s an interesting each-way player. While THE NEW ONE (each-way), is the last one worth a mention and is our each-way betting tip for the Champion Hurdle 2016. Despite only managing fifth in the race 12 months ago looks to have a fair chance of hitting the frame at least – with the first and second last year now not running. He’s done little wrong this term and was only seven lengths behind Faugheen in the Christmas Hurdle on Boxing Day. He’s since beaten Rayvin Black at Haydock, who has done nothing but frank that form since, and don’t forget he was an excellent (close) third in the race in 2014 when getting badly hampered when Our Conor fell. He’s finished first or second in 17 of his 19 hurdles starts and being one of the most consistent horses in training then, for us, rates a solid each-way alternative to those ahead of him in the market.

Champion Hurdle Tip – The New One 13/2 with Coral (each-way).

 

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16.10 OLBG Mares Hurdle Betting Tip

The OLBG Mares’ race looks like VROUM VROUM MAG’s to lose and give the Mullins yard their eighth win in-a-row in this race. Polly Peachum, who was a head second in the race 12 months ago looks best of the rest.

Mares Hurdle Tip – Vroum Vroum Mag to win at 11/10 with William Hill.

 

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16.50 National Hunt Chase Betting Tip

The National Hunt Chase looks a tough one to call as we continue our day 1 Cheltenham tips, but the stats suggest looking for horses that finished first or second last time out (10 of the last 14), while 7 and 8 year-olds have won eight of the last 10 runnings. Paul Nicholls is 0 from 16 in the race, but note any JP McManus-owned runners, or horses trained by Jonjo O’Neill – step forward MINELLA ROCCO who looks a worthy favourite and can give us a 5/1 winner going into the final race on day one of Cheltenham 2016.

National Hunt Chase Tip – Minella Rocca to win at 5/1 with William Hill.

 

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17.30 Novices’ Handicap Betting Tip

We end the card at 5.30 with the Novices’ Handicap. Respect 7 year-olds here, and look for horses placed first or second last time out. First-time headgear is another good trend to note, while the Nicky Henderson, Jonjo O’Neill and Philip Hobbs yards have often done well in the race, as has owner JP McManus. One that catches the eye at a big price here is JAVERT (each-way) who win at Doncaster last time out and goes well fresh. He will need a big step up here but a 4lb rise in the weights might not be enough to stop him finishing in the places.

Novices’ Handicap Tip – Javert (each-way) at 16/1 with Coral.

 

 

Enhanced Odds Offers for Day 1:

Betfair:

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25/1 Min, Un De Sceaux, Douvan, Thistlecrack to win – CLAIM HERE.

9/1 Min to win the Supreme – CLAIM HERE.

10/1 Annie Power to win the Champion Hurdle – CLAIM HERE.

5/1 Ruby Walsh to ride a day one winner – CLAIM HERE.

5/1 Willie Mullins to train a day 1 winner – CLAIM HERE.

Coral:

12/1 Annie Power to win the Champion Hurdle – CLAIM HERE.

8/1 Willie Mullins to have a day one winner – CLAIM HERE.

Paddy Power:

9/1 Min to win the Supreme – CLAIM HERE.

4/1 Douvan to win the Arkle – CLAIM HERE.

10/1 Annie Power to win the Champion Hurdle – CLAIM HERE.

7/1 Vroum Vroum Mag to win the Mares – CLAIM HERE.

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.