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Free betting tips for each race shown live on Channel 4.  Live racing action from Kempton and Doncaster starting at 2.05pm.

 

Doncaster kick off the Flat turf season with their traditional opener, the Lincoln handicap ably supported by Listed races both at Doncaster and at Kempton.

 

 

 

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2.05 Doncaster – Mile Stakes

 

The coverage opens with a mile Listed contest in which plenty of the these have form at a higher level.

 

Custom Cut (13/2 bet365) has plenty of placed form at Group level the best of which was a victory in a Group 3 at the Curragh last April.  The forecast rain would be in his favour but most of his better form has been over seven furlongs. 

 

FENCING (11/4 Coral) bolted up on his seasonal debut last season in a Listed race on good ground so with conditions in his favour looks the one to be on.  He is lightly raced for a five year old and the stables excellent record with raiders here further increases confidence.

 

Graphic (5/2 BetVictor) clicked halfway through last season and rapidly progressed through the handicap ranks.  He won the London Mile Series Final in September and improved on that in winning efforts at York and Nottingham.  He is adaptable with regards to the ground and, with further improvement likely, should be in the mix.

 

2.05 Betting Tip – FENCING (WIN) (11/4 Coral)

 

 

 

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2.20 Kempton – Magnolia Stakes

 

The Magnolia Stakes begins the Kempton action, a Listed race over a 1m 2f which has attracted a smart field.

 

Contributor (10/3 BetVictor) hasn’t been seen since June when a gallant 4th in a Group 2 at Royal Ascot.  He had shown good form prior to that as well, when runner-up to Breeders Cup Turf hero, Magician, in the Dee Stakes at Chester.  He has won on Polytrack but a defeat when a 1/2 shot in a two runner race at Goodwood shows his frailties and a place might be the best he can do.

 

TRUMPET MAJOR (2/1 bet365) is clear top rated off 110 and at his best would give these a running lesson.  He is unproven over further than a stiff mile but he has an excellent record fresh so first time out looks to be the perfect moment to cash in.  He won a Group 3 at Newmarket on his comeback in 2012 and a Sandown Group 2 on his 2013 debut so it would be no surprise to see him pick up this Listed race to rack up the hat trick.

 

Modernstone (7/2 Betfred) has improved massively on the all weather this winter and showed she was just as adaptable at this trip as well as further when giving Grandeur a scare at Lingfield last time.  She looks the most likely to benefit if the selection doesn't stay. 

 

2.20 Betting Tip – TRUMPET MAJOR (WIN) (2/1 bet365)

 

 

 

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2.40 Doncaster – Cammidge Trophy

 

The Cammidge Trophy invariably attracts a competitive field and this year is no different – with the race headed by last year’s winner.

 

JACK DEXTER (2/1 Ladbrokes) is the horse in question who, when winning over C&D in November, notched up his third victory here.  He spent most of last season performing well at a higher level than this, including in the Group 1 King's Stand at Royal Ascot.  This is well within his grasp before going onto better things and, despite giving weight to all bar one of his rivals, is very much the one to beat.

 

Tropics (4/1 Coral) is rated 33lbs higher than at the beginning of last season, improving rapidly through 2013.  Trainer Dean Ivory does well with his sprinters and his raider is still very lightly raced for a six year-old.  He is a little quirky, hence the hood, but the way he rounded off last campaign, winning a Group 3 at Ascot, was impressive and it will be interesting to see if his improvement can continue.

 

Es Que Love (25/1 Betfred) is a fascinating runner on his debut for the Clive Cox yard.  He ran well last season with an aggressive front running tactics over both seven furlongs and a mile, getting picked up in the final furlong on more than one occasion.  This drop down to six furlongs could prove to be the making of him for a yard that does well with its sprinters.

 

Maureen (6/1 Ladbrokes) is another who is interesting dropping back to sprint trips having contested the best of the races on offer for her sex last season as a three year old over a mile.  She wasn't stopping over that trip last year but connections know her better than anyone so she has to be respected.

 

2.40 Betting Tip – JACK DEXTER (WIN) (2/1 Ladbrokes)

 

 

 

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2.55 Kempton – Rosebery Handicap

 

An old favourite next up in the Roseberry Handicap, once run on the Jubillee course over a furlong shorter, now a tricky looking all weather contest.

 

REBELLIOUS GUEST (8/1 BetVictor) has made an excellent start to the year winning three times already in 2014.  He ran a corker in the Winter Derby last weekend and, although unproven over the trip, his last two runs would suggest it is within his compass.

 

Awake My Soul (16/1 bet365) ran well off similar marks to this in some big handicaps last year having kicked off the season in fine form.  The fact he won on his reappearance in 2013 gives hope here and he could prove to be a spot of value.

 

Vital Evidence (5/1 William Hill) bolted up at Wawick in the Autumn when wearing cheekpieces for the first time.  He won on his seasonal bow in 2013 but his sole try on the all weather was a below par effort and, despite connections keeping him in training, an 11lb rise for that Warwick run might just prove too much.

 

Bishop's Castle (5/1 Stan James) has seemingly not been the easiest to train having only been seen six times in his career.  He won on the Polytrack last March on his return before improving on that with placed efforts at Doncaster and York.  This would be the toughest question he has been asked but he has plenty of scope for improvement.

 

2.55 Betting Tip – REBELLIOUS GUEST (WIN) (8/1 BetVictor)

 

 

 

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3.15 Doncaster – Spring Mile

 

The Spring Mile is still a relatively new race for those who didn't make it into the Lincoln itself.  Just as open as the main contest it is very much a one from each side job on the draw.

 

BRAE HILL (10/1 Ladbrokes) has finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the past three years in the Lincoln but having missed the cut this year deserves supporting in this easier race.  He is getting on a little in years but is on a mark that should still be within his grasp.

 

Gworn (15/2 Stan James) was a model of consistency last year, running just the one poor race, at Goodwood, where any horse can be forgiven a below par effort.  The forecast rain is in his favour and it would be disappointing if he wasn't up to winning off this kind of handicap this season.

 

BORN TO SURPISE (28/1 BetVictor) has dropped to a dangerous looking mark now 4lbs lower than his most recent winning mark.  Both of his career victories have come at Doncaster and, having travelled well for a long way in a pipe opener over further than his best at Kempton, he looks a big price.

 

Dream Walker (14/1 Betfred) went well for a number of different riders last season, climbing the weights rapidly in the process.  This naturally is far more difficult but it is a good opportunity for Megan Carberry to put herself in the shop window having already won on her first ride in Britain.

 

3.15 Betting Tips – BRAE HILL (E/W) (10/1 Ladbrokes)

                            – BORN TO SURPISE (E/W) (28/1 BetVictor)

 

 

 

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3.30 Kempton – 6 Places At BetVictor.Com Handicap

 

A sprint handicap next up with some smart types on show making this an intriguing contest.

 

HOOF IT (6/1 BetVictor) ran well on his reappearance at Lingfield, flying home late on to only get beaten half a length.  He has the advantage of a longer straight at Kempton but on the flip side has the worst draw to overcome here.

 

Lancelot Du Lac (4/1 Stan James) was very progressive last season winning four of his 10 starts including over C&D in November.  He signed off with a place finish in a competitive Lingfield handicap where he finished a length and a quarter in front of Hoof It on 2lbs better terms.

 

Annunciation (12/1 William Hill) lacks a bit in the consistency stakes but having won off marks of 94 and 96 last season there should still be room to manoeuvre off this new mark of 99.  He ran well in a Listed race on his only previous all weather start and if on a going day should go close.

 

Trinityelitedotcom (15/2 BetVictor) hasn’t finished outside the first two on any of his last eight starts, progressing well with every run.  This is much tougher but coming here fully fit could help him run into a place.

 

Baddilini (12/1 Coral) has the plum draw on the rails and in this grade of race he should have the strong pace to run at that he requires to be seen at his best.  He has continued his progression this season and as just a four year-old it is possible that there could still be more to come. 

 

3.30 Betting Tip – HOOF IT (WIN) (6/1 BetVictor)

 

 

 

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3.50 Doncaster – Lincoln Handicap

 

The Lincoln is one of the longest standing races, having been run for over 160 years, first at Lincoln itself and then at Doncaster since 1965.

 

Tullius (8/1 Stan James) should have his ideal conditions in his first handicap for almost two years where he won at Newmarket off a mark of 92.  This will be tougher but he has a good record fresh while the excellent Oisin Murphy takes off a very handy 3lbs.

 

One Word More (12/1 Coral) won on his reappearance last season prior to a couple of struggles at Group level.  He showed up well over seven furlongs here in September and at the age of 4 fits the bill for six of the last eleven winners, although a draw in the middle will make Tom Queally's first move leaving the stalls important. 

 

UNSINKABLE (25/1 Betfred) looked badly in need of his reappearance at Lingfield, fading tamely in the straight on his first run for ten months.  Connections reach for headgear here but on lines through Travel Brother and Windhoek last season he would have a great chance here off 95.

 

Off Art (8/1 BetVictor) won all three of his starts last season and comes here as the least exposed in the field.  He has won fresh as well as on Town Moor so has plenty going for him, although this is by far the toughest contest he has run in.

 

3.50 Betting Tips – UNSINKABLE (E/W) (25/1 Betfred)

 

 

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

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