Free Horse Racing Tips – Cheltenham 1st Jan 2016
Free Horse Racing Tips – Cheltenham 1st Jan 2016 – A massive day of LIVE Channel 4 horse racing action at Cheltenham racecourse this New Year’s Day as we begin 2016. To help we are on-hand with a look at all the LIVE televised C4 races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle, plus our free horse racing tips from Cheltenham.
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Cheltenham Horse Racing Tips – New Year’s Day 2016 C4 Trends
1.20 – BetBright #realfansonly Novices´ Chase (Registered As The Dipper Novices´ Steeple Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f166y CH4
13/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/13 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/13 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
10/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Aged 7 years-old
6/13 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
6/13 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/13 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2
FREE HORSE RACING TIPS: The Paul Nicholls camp took this race 12 months ago so anything they run is respected, but Nicholls’ former boss Dan Skelton could have the answers here with THREE MUSKETEERS (Bet here at 3/1 with William Hill). This 6 year-old was a good winner last time out at Newbury in a Grade Two Chase and if running to that level of form again would be hard to beat. He won by an easy 4 ½ lengths that day, with some fair sorts in-behind too. The soft ground is fine and there is no obvious reason this lightly-raced sort shouldn’t cope with Cheltenham.
1.55 – BetBright Best For Festival Betting Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y CH4
13/13 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
12/13 – Had won at least twice over fences before
13/13 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/13 – Either French (4) or Irish (7) bred
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
11/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Rated 138 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
9/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/13 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/13 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2
FREE HORSE RACING TIPS: The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard have won the last two renewals of this contest so anything they send to post should be respected. However, the Tom George team are another that have targeted this race with success in recent years – winning it in 2011. So with that in-mind his A GOOD SKIN (e/w) (Bet here at 4/1 with William Hill), who gets in here with just 10-2 catches the eye. This horse is a past course winner so we know the track suits, looks to be coming to the boil after a solid third at Wincanton last time out. Of the rest, Thomas Crapper likes it here at the track so is respected, while recent winner Seventh Sky is another that is sure to be popular after his recent Haydock victory.
2.30 – BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m CH4
11/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/12 – Rated 130 or higher
9/12 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
8/12 – Carried 10-9 or more
8/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
7/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/12 – French bred
5/12 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
4/12 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Won by a mare
1/12 – Went onto win the World Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
1/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1
FREE HORSE RACING TIPS: Looking at the key trends then it might pay to note that 4 of the last 5 winners of this race were aged 7 years-old, but we are going to side with a 6 year-old in RONS DREAM (Bet here at 13/2 with William Hill). This horse hails from the Peter Bowen team, who won this race 12 months ago so it’s interesting they are targeting this contest again. The horse is a course winner and heads here in decent order after a win and second from his last two outings – conditions will suit this mare too. Of the rest, the 13 year-old Knockara Beau is a past CD winner at the track so that’s a plus, while So Fine was a good winner last time out and is another that boasts CD-winning form.
3.05 – Dornan Engineering Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y CH4
10/11 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/11 – Won by either a French (3) or Irish (7) bred
10/11 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
6/11 – Went onto run in the World Hurdle later that season
6/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/4
FREE HORSE RACING TIPS: A nice race to look forward to here and with the Nicky Henderson horses starting to hit the boil then his WHISPER (Bet here at SP with Bet365) catches the eye. Yes, he was slightly disappointing last time out at Newbury when last of 5 in the Long Distance Hurdle, but that was his first run back for over 7 months and can be expected to be a lot better for the outing. He’s a past course winner and was a solid fifth in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the track back in March, while it’s interesting that connections are dropping him back in trip to 2m4f.
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Thatsbettingtips Staff
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