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Horse racing betting tips for the 1.50pm at Haydock on Saturday. 

This Saturday, Haydock hosts the Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle which starts the Channel 4 racing coverage.  The race also represents the first leg of the record breaking Scoop6 so finding a winner in this could set you on the road to riches. 14 have been declared to run and we have provided the important trends to help you solve this puzzle.

 

 

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Trends – 

10 out of the last 10 winners had won no more than six hurdle races.

9 out of the last 10 winners had won no more than two handicap hurdle races previously.

9 out of the last 10 winners had won a hurdle race over 2m4f or further.

8 out of the last 10 winners were priced between 11/2 & 12/1

8 out of the last 10 winners had won a Class 2 handicap or higher.

7 out of the last 10 winners were aged between 6 & 8.

7 out of the last 10 winners carried 11st or less.

7 out of the last 10 winners were officially rated 130 or higher.

7 out of the last 10 winners had run in a Graded hurdle race.

5 out of the last 10 winners had won last time out.

 

Big Hands Harry (6/1 Betfred) is likely to be well fancied for the in-form Nicky Henderson stable.  However, although the horse is unexposed, a mark of 135 could be asking a lot unless the horse is top class.  Added to the fact that the trends are against him and he looks to have a lot to do.  

Kris Spin (11/1 SkyBet) looks like a relatively consistent type and hasn’t finished out of the top two in his last six contests but this is a big step up and he has plenty of weight to carry.

Join The Clan (7/1 William Hill) will also be popular in the familiar JP McManus colours and with the champ AP McCoy in the saddle; he will be given every chance.  The horse has been slowly rising up the weights and will have to improve once again to win this.  

That assessment can apply to a few more in the race, however two horses who might be capable of improving on their past form are Cross Kennon (12/1 Coral) and Broadway Buffalo (14/1 bet365) who have been mixing it in much more competitive contests.  The former is a Graded winner who, at the age of 10, will need to rekindle his ability of old whereas Broadway Buffalo looks to have a solid chance after running a very good race in the Pertemps final at Cheltenham.

The trends have thrown up three other horses that could also feature in the finish.  Big Easy (8/1 William Hill) ran well in a Graded hurdle at Aintree and if able to replicate his best form he’ll have a great chance.  L’UNIQUE (8/1 William Hill) is clearly the classiest horse in the race but suffers accordingly by having to carry top weight.  A Grade 1 winner as a juvenile, she went off the boil a bit before going close at Cheltenham then smashing the smart Cash And Go at Sandown.  If able to stay the trip she’ll definitely go close.  The final contender with a strong chance is TRACKMATE (11/1 SkyBet).  Two good victories at Aintree and Cheltenham have put him on the map and it looks like he may have been held back for this contest in particular.  There could potentially still be plenty of improvement to come and hopefully he’ll put in a fine display.

 

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It is a tough race as expected for the first leg of the Scoop6 so I'm happy enough to dutch the race and select both L’UNIQUE and TRACKMATE.  The former is rightfully burdened with top weight and should go very close, whilst the latter has plenty of potential improvement and represents a solid saving bet.

 

Pertemps Long Distance Handicap Tips – 

L’UNIQUE (WIN) (NAP) (8/1 William Hill)

TRACKMATE (WIN) (11/1 SkyBet)

 

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.