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Horse racing betting tips for the 2.40pm Timeform Jury Stakes at Haydock on Saturday.

 

A host of good quality racing takes place at Haydock on Saturday and one of the highlights is the Group 3 Timeform Jury Stakes over 7f.  Open to horses aged four or older, this year’s renewal has attracted a strong nine runner field and plenty look to have good chances.  

 

 

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Last year’s contest was won by the Peter Schiergen trained Amarillo (9/1 Betfred), a horse who reappears this year in an attempt to claim back to back victories.  A winner on his seasonal reappearance in a Group 3 at Munich, this horse will be burdened by a 3lb penalty but arrives in good form.  A consistent performer, Amarillo regularly runs well in Group quality races (majority in Germany) but has only claimed four victories from 19 starts.  Then penalty could be decisive here, and although likely to run with plenty of credit once again, others may be just too strong.

 

A lot depends on whether GARSWOOD (7/2 William Hill) shows his latent ability, the ability he displayed when winning the Group 2 Lennox stakes despite showing signs of greenness.  Thought of highly in the Richard Fahey stable, this horse made his seasonal reappearance over 8f at Sandown in the hope that he will develop into a good quality miler.  That hope doesn’t seem to have come to fruition as Garswood looked to struggle with the extra furlong.  Back down in trip with conditions looking to be ideal (good to soft ground) he has the best form in the form and, if able to reproduce his best, will take a lot of beating.

 

Two progressive runners include Breton Rock (7/1 bet365) and Custom Cut (11/1 SkyBet).  Both have shown good form in high level handicaps and Listed contests and both met one another at this C&D only three weeks ago.  That came in the Spring Trophy Stakes, a Listed race which saw Breton Rock come out on top by half a length.  The winner was produced from the rear and was just able to get the better of Custom Cut, who fought back after leading and being passed.   Breton Rock looks the more progressive of the two and has a far better strike rate and therefore is taken to confirm that running.

 

It could pay to concentrate on the four year-olds and another of interest is Here Comes When (7/1 Coral) who represents Andrew Balding.  This horse was an impressive winner on his seasonal reappearance over 8f at Chester in soft ground.  He sat up with the pace, perfectly positioned and asserted well to win going away by five lengths.  Gelded since last season he looked to have improved over the winter and could feature in Listed/Group 3 contests throughout the season.  This horse also has form with Breton Rock, beating him last season by a length whilst giving away 3lbs at Chester.  The step down in trip may not be ideal but he should feature in the final stages nonetheless.

 

Godolphin are represented by Tawhid (15/2 William Hill), last years impressive winner of the Dubai Duty Free Cup at Newbury.  This horse contested some good quality competitive Group races as a three year-old and was a consistent performer.  Definitely seen to best effect on ground with plenty of cut in it, the drying conditions will not be welcomed and that could well make the difference.  Question marks remain about this horses’ resolution however the cheekpieces were used to good effect on his final start last season so it will be interesting to see if they work a second time out.

 

Of the others, Eton Forever (9/2 Betfred) is a reliable older horse who seems to go best when fresh.  Likely to lead, the long run-in at Haydock could well leave him vulnerable to those coming from behind.   

 

 

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A tricky race to decipher.  Plenty of these runners have realistic chances of success and the race could end up becoming a real battle.  Undoubtedly on form, GARSWOOD stands a level above the majority of these runners.  It is a risk to back him with a huge degree of confidence given the way he performed on his seasonal reappearance but that run should have put him straight and conditions look to be ideal.  Back over 7f with ground with a bit of cut in it looks ideal and he could well start to live up to the hype and reputation that surrounds him.  Dangers are numerous so it would be foolish to dive in too deep with this horse.

 

 

Timeform Jury Stakes Betting Tip – 

 

GARSWOOD (WIN)(NAP) (7/2 William Hill)

 

 

 

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.