Horse racing betting tips for the 4.15pm bet365 Paradise Stakes at Ascot.
The bet365 Paradise Stakes is a Listed race over the straight mile at Ascot and 10 runners have been declared to take part. Regualrly a stepping stone onto some of the major Group races over 1m later in the season, last year’s runner-up Sovereign Debt went on to finish second in the Lockinge Stakes.
Fencing (5/1 Coral) won this race last season for John Gosden and reappears here after finishing placed on his last two efforts. This season’s renewal looks a little bit tougher and the horse will need to reverse form with both Graphic and French Navy if going to claim back-to-back victories. He does have the advantage of a C&D win to his name and he shouldn’t be inconvenienced by the underfoot conditions.
Graphic (5/1 bet365) beat Fencing in the Doncaster Mile and arrives here in fine fettle with five victories in his past eight races. His recent form certainly gives him a strong chance, as does the state of the ground, however; in two of his three appearances at the course, he has been beaten by 8 ½ and 14 ½ lengths, something which is certainly a concern.
Baltic Knight (6/1 Ladbrokes) will be well fancied for the leading team of Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes on his seasonal reappearance. As a 3 year-old he won the Ganton Stakes towards the end of last year which proves he can handle this class of race but, his final run of the season was disappointing and it will be noteworthy to see if he’s trained on over the winter. This horse may be one to watch for the future but he could well be vulnerable here today as others will have a fitness advantage and he will likely need to improve.
Sirius Prospect (12/1 Ladbrokes) has potentially the best course form when finishing fifth in the Champion Sprint Stakes over 6f. The horse also gave Graphic a 3 length beating at Kempton last season and shouldn’t be underestimated. Despite these obvious positives, the horse is generally campaigned over 6 or 7 furlongs and 1m in softish ground on a testing track is a big negative.
FRENCH NAVY (7/2 William Hill) is the highest rated horse in the field and deservedly so, the horse has two wins in Listed company and never fails to run his race. His second place finish in the Earl Of Sefton Stakes is solid form and a repeat of that performance would surely see him claim victory here.
Of the others, Boomshackerlacker (16/1 Coral) needs to reverse form with French Navy, Levitate (12/1 bet365) is classy but struggles when stepped up into this company while Mister Music (28/1 bet365), Race And Status (14/1 Coral) and Ocean Tempest (6/1 Ladbrokes) will all have to improve on their form now stepping up into Listed class.
The fitness edge that FRENCH NAVY, Graphic and Fencing have should be of huge advantage and, of the three, the Godolphin runner comes out on top in terms of form. I expect Sirius Prospect to run a big race but not stay while Baltic Knight and Race And Status should be horses to follow for the rest of the season but are best watched here.
FRENCH NAVY (WIN) (NAP) (7/2 William Hill)
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