Horse Racing Tips – Channel 4 Live Races

Horse racing betting tips for each race shown live on Channel 4 on Saturday.

 

A bumper eight race feast for our viewing pleasure is being served up by Channel 4 this Saturday as they provide coverage from Haydock, York and Newmarket.

 

 

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1.50 York

 

A high end handicap over 7f to kick things off with plenty of Listed class form on offer despite the small field. 

 

BEST OF ORDER (5/2 Coral) was impressive on his first start this season, sluicing through the Doncaster mud for a decisive victory.  He finds himself 6lbs higher in a better race but his Bunbury Cup effort from last year (when horribly drawn) gives hope that this mark isn’t beyond him.

 

Brae Hill (9/1 SkyBet) has been a magnificent servant to connections, showing his talent once more when runner-up in the Lincoln consolation at Doncaster.  This mark has proved beyond him in the past and, while it probably will again, he could well run into a place.

 

Dutch Rose (12/1 bet365) is a dual C&D winner with form on soft ground that would give her a chance.  She would need to step up considerably on her Ascot return, looking badly in need of the race on that occasion but having blown away the cobwebs better should be expected.

 

Alfred Hutchinson (7/1 Betfred) would be very well in if this race were being run on an artificial surface with a 10lb lower turf mark.  He has run well on more than one occasion at York and is interesting to note if there is market support.

 

1.50 Betting Tip – BEST OF ORDER (WIN) (5/2 Coral)

 

 

 

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2.05 Haydock

 

A Group 3 for the fairer sex begins the Haydock coverage over 1m4f.

 

CUBANITA (3/1 William Hill) is at her best when the mud is flying as it is likely to be here.  It is testament to her ability then that she was able to win the John Porter on her reappearance on ground that didn't appear as if it would be to her liking.  That day she beat Noble Mission who has won all three starts since including a Group 1.  She didn't appear to get home over further on her most recent start and despite a 3lb penalty is very much the one to beat.

 

Astonishing (7/2 Betfred) was behind Cubanita at Newbury, lacking the tactical speed to achieve a clear passage on that occasion.  She is 1lb worse off at the weights now while the soft going is another question mark although she should handle it well enough.  

 

Khione (7/1 Coral) was behind the above pair at Newbury but would have finished much closer but for a troubled passage.  She beat Cubanita at York and has shown solid form with plenty if cut so could well emerge as the main danger to the selection.

 

Moment In Time (13/2 SkyBet) spent the second half of last season mixing it with better company than this having been triumphant in this contest.  She was far from disgraced in the Nassau, the Yorkshire Oaks or the E P Taylor at Woodbine and takes a marked drop in grade.  She handled plenty of cut in her younger days when handicapping in the mid 70's but this is far tougher.

 

2.05 Betting Tip – CUBANITA (WIN)(NAP) (3/1 William Hill)

 

 

 

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2.20 York

 

This stayers Listed race looks a fascinating renewal with stamina at a massive premium given underfoot conditions.

 

Renew (12/1 bet365) is one of the least exposed in the lineup with a marked step down in grade from his latest start at Newmarket.  He looked to stay the trip well enough at Haydock last year and has handled plenty of cut in the ground.  He has a little to find with a 3lb penalty on his back but that is far from impossible.  

 

By far the most interesting runner in the race is the Peter Niven trained CLEVER COOKIE (5/1 Betfred) who is a late recruit to the flat scene.  One of the most improved hurdlers in training in 2014 he did well to pick up a 0-100 handicap here when last seen.  This might just stretch his stamina a little, especially if they go a good clip but it's hard to believe that his improvement is over.

 

Stamina is certainly the strong suit of Ralston Road (10/1 Ladbrokes) who has a knack of outrunning his price in big races.  He wasn't beaten far in last season's St Leger nor when last seen in a Dubai Group 2.  There isn't much form in the book for him on soft ground which is a concern but otherwise he looks to have a solid chance.

 

Rawaki (5/1 Ladbrokes) is an inconsistent sort with excellent efforts at Newbury and Hamilton sandwiching a poor Ripon run.  He is unproven on ground this soft but a repeat of the Newbury effort when only just foiled by Cubanita and Noble Mission would put him right in the firing line.

 

2.20 Betting Tip – CLEVER COOKIE (WIN) (5/1 Betfred)

 

 

 

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2.40 Haydock

 

It's a quality looking renewal of the John Of Gaunt, a very strong Group 3 over the specialist seven furlong trip.

 

Amarillo (9/1 Betfred) won this race last year on a much quicker ground but he is well proven on this much slower surface.  He has a good record fresh so it was no surprise to see him win on his comeback.  This is much tougher especially given his penalty but he won't be over from Germany for a day out.

 

Breton Rock (7/1 bet365) and Custom Cut (11/1 Ladbrokes) are closely matched on C&D running last time out.  This is a better contest but both are in form and should give solid accounts of themselves.

 

Eton Forever (9/2 Betfred) has proved to be fragile through his racing career but is an extremely talented horse when on song.  He is two from two on genuinely soft ground and showed that he is as good as ever on his Leicester reappearance when turning a Listed race into a procession.

 

GARSWOOD (7/2 William Hill) was disappointing on his comeback when not for the first time looking as if a mile taxed his stamina to the limit.  Seven furlongs could well prove to be his ideal distance and he is very much the one to beat dropped down in class.

 

The ground can't get soft enough for the Godolphin representative, Tawhid (7/1 SkyBet).  He finally got rewarded for his run of consistency at Newbury last September when a very comfortable Listed winner.  He was entitled to win that contest as comfortably as he did and all three of his wins have been in the Autumn so he has a little to prove at this time of year.

 

2.40 Betting Tip – GARSWOOD (WIN) (7/2 William Hill) 

 

 

 

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3.00 Newmarket

 

The first of the two Newmarket races next up with a very difficult looking sprint handicap.

 

Don't Bother Me (11/2 bet365) who was tried over 10 furlongs this time last year, now finds himself over half a mile shorter.  Ryan Moore has a solid record for the stable and first time headgear is really interesting especially when trying this trip for the first time in his career.  

 

PICTURE DEALER (16/1 Betfred) got a little tapped for toe over a sharp six furlongs at York last time with this stiffer test looking in his favour.  He was in need of his first run last season as well before running well in a string of hot handicaps.  He should be capable of defying this mark and can go close in this.

 

Hadaj (8/1 Ladbrokes) has been putting in a solid run of form off similar marks to this all season.  The stronger they go in front, the more he will like it and, given that he is the lone raider from this stable down from Yorkshire, he deserves a second look.  

 

Dominate (14/1 Coral) has twice been successful on soft going including off a mark 3lbs higher than he finds himself here.  He is at his best when able to live up to his name and could prove very dangerous given a soft time if things in front.

 

3.00 Betting Tip – PICTURE DEALER (WIN) (16/1 Betfred)

 

 

 

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3.15 Haydock

 

Another very competitive contest here with plenty of speed despite the slow ground.

 

DINKUM DIAMOND (10/1 Coral) sprung a bit of a surprise on Lincoln day when an impressive Listed winner on similar ground.  He ran a corker in the Palace House at Newmarket when last seen, a race that has worked out nicely and this could prove to be right up his street.

 

Not much between Eton Rifles (8/1 bet365) and Steps (9/2 Ladbrokes) on their Ascot running last back end.  The former was well below par when last seen but the latter returned in great heart at Newbury when without his regular headgear.  The blinkers are back on here and he should go close.

 

York Glory (7/2 William Hill) is best in officially at the weights having closed out 2013 in great form running the ultra smart Maarek to a length.  He really came to himself last year, however the only time he has run following a similar length break he was stone cold last beaten 31 lengths so freshness must be a concern.

 

3.15 Betting Tip – DINKUM DIAMOND (WIN) (10/1 Coral)

 

 

 

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3.35 Newmarket

 

Another devilishly tricky handicap over 1m4f where a case can be made for plenty of these.

 

RYE HOUSE (3/1 Betfred) enjoys getting his toe in and given the recent rain this lightly raced son of Dansili will get his surface here.  He made a pleasing return in a hot York handicap with the step back up in trip likely to be massively in his favour now.

 

Mighty Yar (3/1 SkyBet) is lightly raced and very progressive, picking up in good style when finally getting daylight and winning with more in hand than the official margin shows on his latest start.  The only defeat in his career so far has come on soft ground which has to be a concern but it did come on his reappearance and may have needed the run.  He is bred to appreciate cut and it's unlikely connections would be going to the well again on this going if they felt it was to blame for his Nottingham defeat.

 

Plutocracy (11/1 bet365) showed a massive improvement from two years to three, winning his first three starts last season before finishing a shade disappointing on his final start at Bath.  He shaped well on his only start on soft going and, if resuming in the same heart as last year, should go close.

 

Romeo Montague (33/1 bet365) has not been seen much on a racecourse in the past couple of years but is very well handicapped on his best form which has come on a soft surface.  He shaped well enough on his Kempton return and a market move is worth taking heed of.

 

3.35 Betting Tip – RYE HOUSE (WIN) (3/1 Betfred)

 

 

 

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3.50 Haydock

 

Another classy sprint rounding out the coverage, this one confined to three year-olds.

 

Shamson (9/2 Coral) will have delighted connections with victory on his return at York having been well beaten at the Breeders Cup meeting.  The fourth at York finished in the same spot in the Group 2 Temple Stakes last weekend to give the form line a major boost.

 

PARBOLD (2/1 bet365) never gets beaten far, two lengths total in a pair of runs this year despite finishing fourth and fifth.  He may well relish the extra juice in the ground and while he stays seven furlongs well a drop down to sprinting might be the key to getting his head back in front.  He has 6lbs and upwards in hand over all his rivals and should prove hard to beat.

 

Betimes (12/1 Coral) is an interesting raider for the John Gosden yard, stepped back down to sprinting having pulled far too hard in the 1000 Guineas.  She had only a Lingfield win (albeit an impressive one) to her name before her Classic attempt and looks pitched into the deep end once again here.  On official ratings she has a mountain to climb but one can't help but think that she could go well at a decent price.

 

3.50 Betting Tip – PARBOLD (WIN) (2/1 bet365)