Newmarket July Meeting Top Tips – Day Two

The top action continues at the HQ of British flat racing – Newmarket Racecourse – as their three-day July Festival moves into Friday (10th July). With LIVE action on Channel Four Racing each day then we’ll be on hand to cover all the main Newmarket races throughout the week – giving you all the key trends and our free top horse racing tips on each of the LIVE contests.

 

See our Newmarket betting tips (Friday 10th) – Gentleman’s Day – with the Price Bailey Handicap, Duke of Cambridge Stakes, Qipco Falmouth Stakes and the Betfred Mobile Handicap as the day’s FOUR LIVE Channel Four races.

 

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Coral Newmarket

2.10 – Price Bailey EBF Stallions Fillies´ Handicap (Bobis Race) Cl2 7f CH4

12/13 – 2 or more runs that season
11/13 – Won with 9-1 or less
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
7/13 – Placed in their last run
7/13 – Ran at either Newmarket or Ascot in their previous race
4/13 – Had run on the July course previously
4/13 – Favourites that won
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Won by the Kremlin House (Roger Varian) stable
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

THAT’S BETTING TIPS: With 9 of the last 10 winners of this race carrying 9-2 or less in weight then we can rule the top three on the card out – Enlace, Bronze Maquette and Sulaalaat. Trainer Sir Michael Stoute as won the race twice in the last 13 runnings so his ANGEL VISION, (Back @7/2 with SkyBet) with Ryan Moore riding, looks to have a big chance. She’s a past course winner and heads here off the back of an impressive 2 ½ length win last month, while having also won over 7f then the drop back in trip should be fine too. Of the rest Godolphin’s Wordcraft (Back at 4/1 with 888Sport.com) is 2-from-2 so he could be anything, while Spangled (Back at 9/2 with William Hill) improved bundles to win well a Lingfield maiden last time out.

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2.40 – Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (Group 2) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Had raced at least twice before
10/11 – Foaled in Feb (4) or March (6)
10/11 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
10/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Had won over 6f before
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/11 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
 

THAT’S BETTING TIPS: Some nice 2 year-olds on show here. Trainer Brian Meehan won the race in 2005 and runs Blue Bayou (Back at 12/1 with Bet365), who will be popular with Ryan Moore booked to ride. Another yard that have a good record in the contest is Mick Channon, after winning the spoils in 2008 – he runs Sixties Sue. Eastern Angel was a fine second in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, with another of today’s runners Besharah back in third. Both should make their present felt but have a bit more to prove over this extra furlong. With that in mind the safest call is to stick with the unbeaten ILLUMINATE (Back at 7/4 with SkyBet). Richard Hannon’s classy 2 year-old is 2-from-2 after wins at Salisbury and last time out in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot. The Hannon camp won the race in 2010 with a similar sort and being one of just three previous distance winners in the field she’s the one to beat.


3.15 – Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

13/13 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Won over at least 1 mile previously
9/13 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
9/13 – Won from stall 5 or lower
9/13 – Had 2+ runs that season
9/13 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Favourites placed
5/13 – Previous Group One winners
5/13 – Had run on the July course previously
5/13 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

THAT’S BETTING TIPS: A great renewal of the Falmouth Stakes and a race that will revolve around last year’s winner Integral. She’s the only CD winner in the field and was an easy 2 length winner of the race 12 months ago. However, despite a close fourth in the Lockinge Stakes back in May was very disappointing last time at Royal Ascot – was a beaten 8/11 favourite. Her conqueror that day was AMAZING MARIA (e/w) (Back at 10/1 with Bet365) and if reproducing that form comes here as a big player. It will be a red-letter day for her improving trainer David O’Meara and after a promising early part of her career it could be that they’ve found the key to her. She won by 2 lengths that day, with some classy sorts toiling in behind and despite not yet having raced here looks to have her ideal conditions. Of the others, the Irish pin their hopes on the Jim Bolger-trained Lucida (Back at 11/4 with Betfair), while Fintry and Avenir Certain are sent over from France – all three have leading chances too.


3.45 – Betfred Mobile Heritage Handicap (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Won over 6 or 7f before
13/13 – Had 2+ previous runs that season
10/13 – Won with 8-13 or less
10/13 – Winners from stall 10 or higher
8/13 – Came fourth or better in their last race
8/13 – Won at a double-figure price
7/13 – Runners from a double-figure stalls coming 1st & 2nd
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
5/13 – Had run on the July course previously
3/13 – Ran at Ascot in their previous race
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/13 – Ridden by David Probert
1/13 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/1

THAT’S BETTING TIPS: A big stat here is that 10 of the last 13 winners carried 8-13 or less in weight, while the same amount came from stalls 10 or higher. All of the last 13 winners have at least 2 previous runs that season and had winning form over 6 or 7f. Also, don’t be put off if your fancy is a double-figure price as 8 of the last 13 have returned 10/1 or bigger and having finished in the top four last time out is another plus. Taking those key stats into account then the horses that standout are MULLIONHEIR (Back at 10/1 with 888Sport), NAVIGATE (Back at 9/1 with Betfair) and MAGICAL MEMORY (Back at 7/1 with William Hill). In a race of this nature there is no harm in having a small interest in all three. Mullionhier has won four of his last five so comes here in tip-top order. Navigate returns to 6f now, which is a plus, while any rain for him is a further plus. Magical Memory will be popular with Ryan Moore riding and after a decent third last time out in a similar York race heads here in good order.

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.

Thatsbettingtips Staff

The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.