Sunday's Irish Horse Racing Tips
Midlands National Stats and Trends: 19th March

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends – This Saturday’s Paddy Power Gold Cup is run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs and is the feature race at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, staged each year in the middle of November (13th-15th Nov 2015).

The Pipe yard are the leading stable with 9 wins in the race – Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, being their most-recent. Last year the 2014 Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Paul Nicholls-trained Caid Du Berlais – giving the stable their second win in the last three runnings of the race.

We take a look at the 2015 renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 14th November.

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PADDY POWER GOLD CUP FREE HORSE RACING TIP: Trainer Paul Nicholls has won two of the last three runnings of this race so anything he sends to post should be feared. Sound Investment and Art Mauresque are his main hopes at this stage with Sam Twiston-Davies booked to ride Sound Investment, while Nick Schofield gets the leg-up on Art Mauresque. The Nicky Henderson yard have only won the race once (2003), so they will be trying to improve their record with Cocktails At Dawn, who was a nice winner on his return last month at Chepstow. However, the yard with the best record in the race is the Pipe team. Martin has landed the contest 8 times while son David has taken the prize once. They look to have a cracking chance of adding to that record this year as KINGS PALACE (Bet here with Paddy Power) holds big claims. Yes, he flopped in the RSA Chase here back in March but had a hard season prior to that race for a young chaser and with another summer on his back looks a big player here. The drop in trip is a plus, while he’s won twice before over fences at Prestbury Park. Being a 7 year-old he ticks that age trends too, while he clearly goes well fresh – having won first-time out for the past three seasons.

Of the rest, JOHNS SPIRIT (Bet here with Paddy  Power), looks a decent each-way option having won the race in 2013 and finished a head second 12 months ago too. He loves this race and is only a pound higher than last year so everything is in place for another solid run from this Jonjo O’Neill-trained 8 year-old.

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Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

13/13 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
12/13 – Won by a UK-based trainer
10/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/13 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
7/13 – Aged 7 years-old
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 7 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 26 runners
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9.5/1

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Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.