RBC Heritage 2014- Betting Tips & Predictions- Wow. What an incredible Masters. An incredible run by the young gun Spieth but an even more incredible performance from Bubba. After the intensity of last week, the PGA TOUR moves a few hours down the road to the beautiful Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, SC.
Harbour Town is a par 71 Pete Dye design that will play around 7,100 yards. Even though “Links” is in the courses name, this is not truly a links course. Most of the holes are inland and are tree lined. The course is truly set up for ball strikers and shot makers as you can see by the list of past winners. The greens are small, the fairways are tight, but there are birdies to be had on this course.
This tournament has been held here since 1969 so we will have tons of course form data. Seeing that the course conditions call for ball strikers and shot makers, here are some of the key stats this week: Par 4 performance, Strokes Gained, GIR, and Ball Striking. The tournament record here is -20 set by Brian Gay in 2009 but the average winning score is around -11.
Graeme McDowell – 2013
Carl Pettersson – 2012
Brandt Snedeker – 2011
Jim Furyk – 2010
Brian Gay – 2009
If we are looking for a similar tournament/course to compare, I would point to the Valspar Championship that was held at Innisbrook a few weeks ago. Players who performed well there, should have the game to contend in Hilton Head this week. Another note is that this is an invitational tournament. This means we will have a reduced field of 132 this week as opposed to the usual 156 that we see on TOUR. The wind should be a factor here according to the weather report; showing winds up to 20 MPH Thur-Sat.
Let’s look at some picks:
Matt Kuchar to Win: 18/1 Open a new Coral account by clicking this link bet just £5 and get a free £20 bet!
I seem to keep backing him and he comes up just short each week. Is this the week he breaks through? His slow and steady game would lead you to believe he would do well here. Kuch ranks 4th in Par 4 performance and 16th in scrambling. He also has 3 top 5’s in his last 3 starts.
Zach Johnson to Win: 22/1 Open a new Betfred account by clicking this link and get a free £25 bet.
ZJ has some incredible stats coming into this week. ZJ is not a long player but he has a great short game and his a lot of greens which is important here. ZJ is 7th in Par 4 performance and finished 2nd here in 2012. He missed the cut at Augusta and even though he’s a past winner, I don’t think the course sets up well for his game. Harbour Town does and he should be in contention on Sunday.
Luke Donald to Win: 18/1 Open a new William Hill account by clicking this link and get a free £25 bet.
Donald probably has the best course form of anyone in the field this week. He has played here 5 times and has 4 top 3’s. That’s amazing. He has not won this tournament but that could change this week. Donald is 3rd in scrambling and 7th in strokes gained. This should eliminate a lot of bogeys for him this week. He also has 2 top 10’s in his last 5 starts on TOUR this season.
Kevin Na e/w: 33/1 Open a new Betfred account by clicking this link and get a free £25 bet.
Na has been riding a hot short game for weeks now. 3rd in scrambling, 3rd in Par 4 performance, and 15th in Strokes Gained. Na also has 2 top 10’s in his last 2 starts here and has finished top 15 in his last 3 starts this season. Good stats, good course form, good recent form, good price.
Will MacKenzie e/w: 40/1 Open a new Ladbrokes account by clicking this link, and get a £50 free bet!
MacKenzie has had a few weeks off and hopefully can regain his form quickly. MacKenzie has made 11/13 cuts this season. He ranks 33rd in GIR, 17th in Par 4 performance, and 11th in Strokes Gained. He doesn’t have great course form, but he has never played this well. 3 top 6 performances in his last 4 starts.
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