Arguably the heavyweight clash of the international friendlies see's World Cup holders Spain square up against the former champions Italy in Madrid. The match is live on Sky Sports and we have some free betting tips for you.
After both teams walked their groups undefeated, Wednesday's clash will be a much tougher examination of their World Cup credentials. Spanish manager Vincente Del Bosque raised a few eyebrows with the omission of both Juan Mata and Fernando Torres, choosing to hand an opportunity to Atletico Madrid goal machine Diego Costa instead. Italy on the other hand, have a couple of high profile absentees of their own. The mercurial Mario Balotelli is currently on the treatment table with a shoulder injury and most recently Daniele De Rossi misses out thanks to an off the ball indiscretion. The fiery tempered loon took exception to Inter Milan's Maura Icardi on Sunday and duly punched him in the face.
Browsing the early prices, Italy are 13/2 outsiders with the draw at 16/5. Considering the Italians have had score draws their last four games, this is certainly a juicy carrot to consider. Spain are heavy favourites for the win at 8/15 with most bookmakers. Given the experimental nature of their squad, this is a very risky bet as it would require a hefty stake to bring a decent return. Despite strolling to a first place finish in their qualifying group, Spain only managed to score 14 goals in the process. In a group with Finland, Belarus and Georgia, this is a really poor return. To offer some basis for comparison, England managed 31 goals in their campaign. However, there is a flip side to this statistic, they only conceded three goals in all of those games as well. With these facts in mind, back them to win with under 2.5 goals at 23/10 with William Hill.
With an Italy goal likely to ruin the previous prediction, a little bit of insurance is certainly needed. As previously mentioned, Diego Costa is in prolific form this year with 21 goals in 26 La Liga games. A 9/2 shot with Bet365 to open the scoring and 11/8 anytime, back him twice along with Spain to win 2-1 with Betfred at 7/1. A 1-1 draw in the match would see a refund thanks to Betfred's '1 apiece' offer, thus offering returns on four separate scorelines in the game.
Spain v Italy Betting Tips and Predictions
Spain to Win and Under 2.5 Goals – Bet Here at 23/10 with William Hill.
Diego Costa to Score First – Bet Here at 9/2 with Bet365
Diego Costa to Score Anytime – Bet Here at 11/8 with Bet365
Spain to Win 2-1 – Bet Here at 7/1 with Betfred.
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