Looking back at the pre tournament tips, both our picks still remain in the hunt for the title with Murray now a solid second favourite and looking in good shape to make the final while David Ferrer still remains a rank outsider despite being favoured in his quarter final matchup.
David Ferrer takes on Juan Martin Del Potro in a repeat of their 2012 fourth round match. Ferrer won in straight sets (6-3 6-2 6-3) on that occasion and looks a big price to repeat the trick. Despite being seen as way outside the elite of the top four, Ferrer still delivers results against those ranked below him and thrives on big hitters like Del Potro. The current head to head is 6-2 and more notably, the last four meetings were all won by Ferrer and on four different surfaces which suggests that the matchup heavily favours Ferrer, irrespective of the venue. 1.73 (Ladbrokes) appeals but Ferrer -1.5 sets at 2.31 (188bet) would have landed in all of the three meetings last year.
Andy Murray's favourable draw continues with a quarter final meeting against Fernando Verdasco. The Spaniard has been in great form in the tournament to date but the likes of Kenny de Schepper are a completely different thing to what he will face with the no.2 seed. The lefty serve has been used to full effect this tournament with a sizable aces count. Murray has yet to play a left hander this year but his record against other notable left handers not named Rafael Nadal are promising (5-0 vs Jurgen Melzer, 7-0 vs Feliciano Lopez and most importantly 8-2 vs Verdasco). Expect Murray to make light work of Verdasco to keep his momentum going and close it out in three sets at 1.73 (Sportingbet).
Novak Djokovic showed a few signs of weakness in his straight sets win over Tommy Haas and really should have dropped a set to the German. The No.1 now plays a former finalist in Tomas Berdych, who defeated Djokovic in 2010 on his way there. He also defeated Djokovic in their last meeting in Rome, although that was on the clay. It's hard to see the Czech taking the match but there is no doubt he can get a set, especially if he can get firing on return as he did late against Bernard Tomic in the last round. A Djokovic blip is also not unforeseeable so it's definitely worth taking the 2.00 (Bet365) that there are four sets or more in this match up. On the off chance that Djokovic does lose, it seems incredibly unlikely that he is defeated in straight sets.
David Ferrer -1.5 sets (2.31 188bet)
Andy Murray 3-0 (1.73 Sportingbet)
Novak Djokovic/Tomas Berdych over 3.5 sets (2.00 Bet365)