As we move into the second day of the 4-day York Ebor Meeting with some more top-notch horse racing action to enjoy. The C4 horse racing team are at the course to cover four LIVE races, including the Yorkshire Oaks and Lowther Stakes.

Horse racing tipping expert, Andy Newton, gives you his free horse racing tips, big race trends and best bets this Thursday (20th Aug) from York.

PADDY POWER

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Today’s Horse Racing Tips – THURSDAY 20th August 2015

 

1.55 – DBS Premier Yearling Stakes (CLASS 2) (2yo) 6f

13/13 – Had 2 or more career runs
13/13 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
13/13 – Had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
12/13 – Foaled in Feb or later
10/13 – Won from stall 10 or higher
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Had won over 6f before
5/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/13 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/13 – Placed horses from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket
           2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 renewals was run at Doncaster

VERDICT: 20 runners here but on these terms there only looks to be a few with chances. Richard Hannon’s Orvar is one of those and the yard took this in 2008. He was a fair second at Newmarket last time out and won’t mind the give underfoot. However, the William Haggas yard have won this race for the last two seasons and looks to have another outstanding chance – this time with TASLEET (Bet here at 2/1 with William Hill). The horses excellent second in the Group Two Richmond Stakes at Glorious Goodwood is head and shoulders above what any of the others have achieved and if running to that level again it will be a shock if he’s not taking this.

PADDY POWER

2.30 – Pinsent Masons Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

12/13 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
12/13 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
12/13 – Had won at least once before
12/13 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Had not run at York before
10/13  Drawn in stall 4 or higher
10/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Winning distance 1 length or more
7/13 – Had won over 6f before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/13 – Trained by Mick Channon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

VERDICT: Besharah, who won a decent Group Three in great style last time out is sure to be involved on that running, while we think Easton Angel is better than her last run at Newmarket – when fourth of 9 in the Duchess Of Cambridge. However, there was plenty of talk and an awful lot of money for Mark Johnston’s LUMIERE (Bet here at 15/8 with William Hill) back in July when she won her maiden and after an easy 6 lengths win it was easy to see why. She’s got some fancy Group 1-2 entries later in the season and with the yard taking their time with the horse we think she could turn out to be a bit special.

PADDY POWER

3.05 – Clipper Logistics Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4

11/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/12 – Had won 2 or more times before
10/12 –  Winning distance of 2 lengths or less
9/12 – Ran at either Ascot (3), Sandown (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-0 or less
9/12 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Won from stall 12 or lower
8/12 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
7/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Had run at York before
2/12 – Won by the Hills (Barry/Charlie) stable
2/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/1

VERDICT: Some key trends to take into this race with Lady Cecil’s Western Reserve ticking a lot of boxes. He was a good winner last time out at Newmarket and is yet to finish out of the top three from his four career runs – there should be more to come. However, the horse that fits the bulk of the stats is the William Haggas-trained MANGE ALL (e/w) (Bet here at 13/2 with 888 Sport). Drawn in stall 6 and riden by Pat Cosgrave this 4 year-old wasn’t beaten far last time at Doncaster in the Lincoln and despite having a 145 day absence to overcome the yard are sure to have him fit and well so this first run back.

PADDY POWER

3.40 – Darley Yorkshire Oaks (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (3yo+)

14/14 – Aged 3 (7) or 4 (6) years-old
14/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Had at least 3 previous wins to their name
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
9/14 – Previous Group 1 winners
9/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/14 – Winning distance 1 length or more
7/14 – Had run at York before (3 won)
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Placed horses from stall 5
7/14 – Winners from stall 5 or 6
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Had run in that season’s Epsom Oaks (1 winner)
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/14 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
4/14 – Won by an Irish-based trainer
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

VERDICT: 3 and 4 year-olds have dominated this race – winning all of the last 10 runnings so that’s not great news for the only 5 year-old in the race, Miss Marjurie. Aidan O’Brien has won the race four times since 2006 but he doesn’t look to have a strong hand this time with Easter and Outstanding his entries. Jim Bolger won the prize in 2008 and will be hoping to follow-up with Pleascach, but the horse that beat her at Royal Ascot (Ribblesdale) – CURVY (e/w) (Bet here at 13/2 with Betfair) – looks the call here. The horse was third last time to another of the big fancies here, Covert Love, in the Irish Oaks, but its interesting that she sports the first-time visor here and I expect the David Wachman’s 3 year-old to reverse that form.

PADDY POWER

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
The team behind the betting tips, offers and promotions at tipster website thatsbettingtips.com.