Royal Ascot 2015 lucky 15 tips

It's the opening day of the 4-day York Ebor Meeting with some top-notch horse racing action to enjoy. The C4 horse racing team are at the track to cover four LIVE races, including the eagerly-awaited Juddmonte International clash between Golden Horn (Get 5/1 with Ladbrokes) and Gleneagles.

Horse racing tipping expert, Andy Newton, gives you his free horse racing tips, big race trends and best bets this Wednesday (19th Aug) from York.

Best Bookmaker Offers (Ts&C's apply)

5-1 GOLDEN HORN

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BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK: Back any winner at 3/1 or bigger on any LIVE C4 race and they will give you a FREE BET to the same stake (up to £25)

888SPORT.com – Money back if your beaten into second by a horse priced 20/1 or bigger! Upto £25 on all UK flat and NH races.

CORAL: Money back if beaten into second by a HEAD(or less) up to £/€25 per race.
 

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – WEDNESDAY 19th August 2015

 

1.55 – Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
6/6 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/6 – Had run 6 or more times that season
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
5/6 – Winners from stall 11 or higher
5/6 – Had run at York before (3 won)
4/6 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
4/6 – Winners won by a neck or less
4/6 – Favourites placed in the top 4
3/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/6 – Had won over 5f before
3/6 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/6 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
0/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 10.6/1

VERDICT: Only six previous runnings to go on here, but ALL of the last six winners carried 9-0 or more. Also look for horses that have had busy seasons – 5 of the last 6 winners had raced 6 or more times that campaign, while the same about of winners came from stall 11 or higher. With those trends in mind SECRETINTHEPARK (e/w) (Bet here at 14/1 with Ladbrokes) looks interesting. Robert Cowell’s charge won well last time out at Ascot, beating Dutch Masterpiece. The is only a pound difference for that short-head win so we can expect them to be close again, but we’ll stick with the Cowell horse, with a save on Dutch Masterpiece. Of the rest, the top-weight, Desert Law, has been running consistently all season and comes here after a confidence-boosting win at Nottingham.
 

2.30 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

11/12 – Had won at least once before
10/12 – Won their previous race
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won over 7f or further before
7/12 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
6/12 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at either York (2) or Newmarket (3) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/12 – Had run at York before
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

VERDICT: Jockey James Doyle has won this race twice in the last three years and he’ll be hoping to improve that record on CYMRIC (e/w) (Bet here at 8/1 with William Hill). This Godolphin-owned horse got off the mark last time out when winning by a head at Sandown and despite another step forward needed it’s interesting that connections think him capable of pitching him at this higher level. Of the rest, William Haggas took this in 2011 so his Recorder, who won well last time out, is a danger, while the Aidan O’Brien-trained Lieutenant General is likely to be popular – but that powerful yard don’t have the best of records in this race.

3.05 – Betway Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f CH4


11/13 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Had won at least twice already in their career
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (2) or John Gosden (3)
8/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
8/13 – Had won a Listed of Group race before
7/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Had run at York before
3/13 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/13 – Went onto win the St Leger (Lucarno, Rule of Law)
2/13 –  Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
13 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

VERDICT: A tight renewal this year with all the runners having some sort of squeak. This contest has always been a good guide for the Ladbrokes St Leger the following month so it might be worth having a small interest on your fancy for that race in the ante-post market. The Aidan O’Brien yard have three of the 7 runners – there’s not a lot between them but BONDI BEACH (Bet here at 9/2 with Skybet) is just the highest-rated of their trio and Joseph O’Brien rides. The horse is one of just two previous distance winners over this 1m4f trip so that’s a big plus and he’s taken to give this powerful yard their first win in the race since 2003. William Haggas’ Storm The Stars is the biggest danger after running some good races in defeat recently, but still needs to prove himself over this trip.   
 

3.40 – Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y CH4

12/13 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Had not run at York before
11/13 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Aged 4 or older
9/13 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won 5 or more times before
7/13 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Sandown (3) last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

VERDICT: Possibly the race of the flat turf season so far with the unbeaten pair – Golden Horn and Gleneagles – doing battle. One of them will lose their unbeaten tag, but really over this trip it’s hard to see beyond John Gosden’s Golden Horn not adding this race to him already impressive CV. This season’s Derby and Eclipse winner has been the 2015 wonder-horse so far and with both him and Gleneagles getting weight from the older horses that swings things in their favour. Gleneagles will be no back number but needs to prove himself over this longer trip. It’s the first time he’s gone beyond a mile, but on a plus his breeding (Galileo) suggests he should be fine over this trip. A fascinating affair that also includes last year’s runner-up The Grey Gatsby but we’ll be sticking with GOLDEN HORN (Bet here at 8/11 with Betfred), who’s done nothing wrong over this sort of trip all season.

5-1 GOLDEN HORN

 

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Thatsbettingtips Staff

Content Contributor at Thatsbettingtips.com
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